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April 12, 2022
A cohort study looked at over five million adults and over 850,000 children between the ages of five and eleven who received care at Kaiser Permanente Northern California during the ten-year period from the beginning of 2007 through the end of 2016. At any given time, KPNC serves roughly four million persons. It is representative of the population of the region, except for the highest and lowest income strata.
The likelihood of being diagnosed with ADHD dropped sharply with age.
(When compared to 18-24-year-olds):
This matches findings from other studies showing that ADHD diagnoses become less common with age.
Other Factors:
Adults with ADHD were more likely to have other mental health conditions:
The authors speculate that rising rates of diagnosis “could reflect increasing recognition of ADHD in adults by physicians and other clinicians as well as growing public awareness of ADHD during the decade under study.” Turning to the notable differences by ethnicity, they note, “Racial/ethnic differences could also reflect differential rates of treatment-seeking or access to care. … Racial/ethnic background is known to play an important role in opinions on mental health services, health care utilization, and physician preferences. In addition, rates of diagnosis- seeking to obtain stimulant medication for non-medical use may be more common among white vs nonwhite patients.” They conclude, “greater consideration must be placed on cultural influences on health care seeking and delivery, along with an increased understanding of the various social, psychological, and biological differences among races/ethnicities as well as culturally sensitive approaches to identify and treat ADHD in the total population.”
The study highlights that many cases of adult ADHD go undiagnosed. Research shows about 3% of adults worldwide have ADHD, but this study found that less than 1% are diagnosed by doctors. This points to the need for better training for clinicians to recognize, diagnose, and treat ADHD in adults. It also emphasizes the importance of understanding cultural factors that affect how people seek and receive care.
Winston Chung, MD, MS; Sheng-Fang Jiang, MS; Diana Paksarian, MPH, PhD; Aki Nikolaidis, PhD; F. Xavier Castellanos, MD; Kathleen R. Merikangas, PhD; Michael P. Milham, MD, PhD, “Trends in the Prevalence and Incidence of Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder Among Adults and Children of Different Racial and Ethnic Groups,” JAMA Network Open (2019) 2(11): e1914344. DOI:10.1521/adhd.2019.27.4.8.
A cohort study looked at over five million adults, and over 850,000 children between the ages of five and eleven, who received care at Kaiser Permanente Northern California during the ten-year period from the beginning of 2007 through the end of 2016. At any given time, KPNC serves roughly four million persons. It is representative of the population of the region, except for the highest and lowest income strata.
Among adults rates of ADHD diagnosis rose from 0.43% to 0.96%. Among children the diagnosis rates rose from 2.96% to 3.74%, ending up almost four times as high as for adults.
Non-Hispanic whites had the highest adult rates throughout, increasing from 0.67% in 2007 to 1.42% in 2016. American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN) had the second highest rates, rising from 0.56% to 1.14%. Blacks and Hispanics had roughly comparable rates of diagnosis, the former rising from 0.22% to 0.69%, the latter from 0.25% to 0.65%. The lowest rates were among Asians (rising from 0.11% to 0.35%) and Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islanders (increasing from 0.11% to 0.39%).
Odds of diagnosis dropped steeply with age among adults. Relative to 18-24-year-olds, 25-34-year-olds were 1/6th less likely to be diagnosed with ADHD, 35-44-year-olds 1/3rd less likely, 45-54-year-olds less than half as likely, 55-64-year-olds less than a quarter as likely, and those over 65 about a twentieth as likely. This is consistent with other studies reporting and age dependent decline in the diagnosis.
Adults with the highest levels of education were twice as likely to be diagnosed as those with the lowest levels. But variations in median household income had almost no effect. Women were marginally less likely to be diagnosed than men.
ADHD is associated with some other psychiatric disorders. Compared with normally developing adults, and adjusted for confounders, those with ADHD were five times as likely to have an eating disorder, over four times as likely to be diagnosed with bipolar disorder or depression, more than twice as likely to suffer from anxiety, but only slightly more likely to abuse drugs or alcohol.
The authors speculate that rising rates of diagnosis could reflect increasing recognition of ADHD in adults by physicians and other clinicians as well as growing public awareness of ADHD during the decade under study. Turning to the strong differences among ethnicities, they note, Racial/ethnic differences could also reflect differential rates of treatment seeking or access to care. Racial/ethnic background is known to play an important role in opinions on mental health services, health care utilization, and physician preferences. In addition, rates of diagnosis- seeking to obtain stimulant medication for nonmedical use may be more common among white vs nonwhite patients. They conclude, greater consideration must be placed on cultural influences on health care seeking and delivery, along with an increased understanding of the various social, psychological, and biological differences among races/ethnicities as well as culturally sensitive approaches to identify and treat ADHD in the total population.
But the main take home message of this work is that most cases of ADHD in adults are not being diagnosed by clinicians. We know from population studies, worldwide, that about three percent of adults suffer from the disorder. This study found that less than 1 percent are diagnosed by their doctors. Clearly, more education is needed to teach clinicians how to identify, diagnose and treat ADHD in adults.
A transcontinental study team (California, Texas, Florida) used a nationally representative sample – the 2018 National Survey of Children’s Health – to query 26,205 caregivers of youth aged 3 to 17 years old to explore inequities in ADHD diagnosis.
With increasing accessibility of the internet in the U.S., more than 80% of adults now search for health information online. Recognizing that search engine data could help clarify patterns of inequity, the team also consulted Google Trends.
The team noted at the outset that “[d]ocumenting the true prevalence of ADHD remains challenging in light of problems of overdiagnosis (e.g., following quick screening rather than full evaluation incorporating multi-informant and multi-method data given limited resources) and underdiagnosis (e.g., reflecting inequities in healthcare and education systems).” Underdiagnosis is known to be influenced by lack or inadequacy of health insurance, inadequate public health funding, stigma, sociocultural expectations in some ethnic groups, and structural racism, among other factors.
After controlling for poverty status, highest education in household, child’s sex, and child’s age, the team reported that Black youth were a quarter (22%) less likely to receive ADHD diagnoses than their white peers. Latino/Hispanic youth were a third (32%) less likely and Asian youth three-quarters (73%) less likely to receive ADHD diagnoses than their white peers.
The team also found that state-level online search interest in ADHD was positively associated with ADHD diagnoses, after controlling for race/ethnicity, poverty status, highest education in household, child’s sex, and child’s age. However, the odds ratio was low (1.01), “suggesting the need for additional evaluation.” Furthermore, “There was no interaction between individual-level racial/ethnic background and state-level information-seeking patterns. … the state-level online information-seeking variation did not affect the odds that youth of color would have a current ADHD diagnosis over and above other included characteristics.”
That could be due in part to the gap in high-speed broadband access between Black and Hispanic in contrast to white populations, but that would not explain the even larger gaps in diagnosis for Asian youth, who tend to come from more prosperous backgrounds.
The team concluded, “Persistent racial/ethnic inequities warrant systematic changes in policy and clinical care that can attend to the needs of underserved communities. The digital divide adds complexity to persistent racial/ethnic and socioeconomic inequities in ADHD diagnosis …”
Typically, clinicians rely on both subjective and objective observations, patient interviews and questionnaires, as well as reports from family and (in the case of children) parents and teachers, in order to diagnose ADHD.
A group of researchers are aiming to find a diagnostic test that is purely objective and utilizes recent technological advancements. The method they developed involves analyzing videos of children in outpatient settings, focusing on their movements. The study included 96 children, half of whom had ADHD and half who did not.
This new method could potentially provide a more objective way to diagnose ADHD, reducing the reliance on subjective observations and reports. It can help doctors make more accurate diagnoses, ensuring that those who need help get it and that those who don't aren't misdiagnosed.
The Background:
Many studies have tried to determine whether exercise improves executive function in children and adolescents with ADHD, but their conclusions have not always agreed. To bring the evidence together more clearly, the research team re-analyzed the available randomized controlled trials using a statistical approach designed to handle the kinds of data common in this field.
Executive functions are skills that help us control attention and behavior. The three core components are inhibitory control (the ability to stop or override impulses), working memory (holding and manipulating information in mind), and cognitive flexibility (switching between tasks or perspectives). Because a single study often reports multiple tests that tap these different skills, one study can contribute several related results (called effect sizes). Traditional meta-analysis typically treats each effect size as independent; when they are actually correlated, that can bias the combined estimate or force reviewers to discard useful data.
To avoid those problems, the team used a three-level meta-analysis. In this model, variance in the data is separated into three sources:
(1) sampling variance: the random error in each measured effect
(2) within-study variance: differences between multiple effect sizes reported in the same study
(3) between-study variance: differences in effects from one study to another
Accounting for all three levels makes it possible to include every eligible effect size from each study, which preserves information and statistical power and reduces the risk that correlations among effect sizes will overstate results.
The Study:
The review focused on long-term exercise interventions and also tested whether certain factors might change (or moderate) the effects. These potential moderators included participant age, which executive-function subcomponent was measured, the type of exercise, how long each session lasted, the total length of the intervention, and how often sessions occurred.
To be included, studies had to be randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of children or adolescents aged 6–18 diagnosed with ADHD. RCTs randomly assign participants to an intervention or a comparison group and are considered a strong design for testing cause-and-effect. The exercise programs had to be structured and last at least six weeks. Comparison groups varied by study and could include usual care, medication, sedentary activities, health education, waiting lists, or everyday life without the specific exercise program. Fifteen studies including 658 participants met these criteria.
The Results:
The three-level meta-analysis showed that long-term exercise interventions were associated with moderate-to-strong improvements in overall executive function. When statistical outliers were removed, the result remained positive: 13 RCTs with 598 participants showed moderate improvements. In plain terms, this suggests improvements that are noticeable and meaningful on average, not just tiny changes that are unlikely to matter in daily life.
Those moderate gains appeared across all three executive-function domains (inhibitory control, working memory, and cognitive flexibility, meaning the benefits were not limited to a single cognitive skill. The authors also examined exercise type:
“Open-skill” activities, which require reacting to changing situations (for example, many team sports, martial arts sparring, or racket sports), produced moderate-to-large improvements.
“Closed-skill” activities, which are more predictable and repetitive (for example, running or stationary cycling), showed only small, non-significant improvements in this analysis.
The review also found dose-related patterns. Interventions lasting at least twelve weeks were about three times more effective than interventions of six to twelve weeks, and sessions longer than an hour were about twice as effective as shorter sessions. Benefits were largest among adolescents aged 13 and older.
These patterns suggest that longer, more intensive programs, and those that involve open-skill activities, may produce larger gains. However, the authors caution that the overall certainty of the evidence was low. “Low certainty” means that limitations in the available studies (for example, small sample sizes, variability in methods, or possible bias) make it difficult to be confident that the observed effects will hold up exactly the same way in future research. Some subgroup findings (age, intervention duration, and others) were based on only a small number of effect sizes, so those moderator results should be treated as exploratory rather than definitive.
The Take-Away:
In short, this three-level meta-analysis suggests that regular, structured exercise (particularly longer programs and open-skill activities) may help improve executive functions in children and adolescents with ADHD. The evidence is promising but not yet strong enough to be considered conclusive, and the authors recommend more, larger randomized trials to confirm specifically which types and doses of exercise are most effective. Moreover, neither this meta-analysis or others show that exercise can replace standard treatments for reducing the core symptoms of ADHD (inattention, hyperactivity, impulsivity).
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When a patient sits down in an examination room today, their physician is rarely the first voice they have heard regarding their symptoms. More often, an algorithm got there first.
According to a nationwide survey by The Physicians Foundation conducted with Medscape, medical misinformation is no longer a peripheral nuisance; it is a daily clinical crisis. Nearly all surveyed physicians (99.9%) reported that their patients had been influenced by medical misinformation over the past year.
While misinformation affects every discipline from oncology to cardiology, few conditions sit as squarely in the algorithmic crosshairs as ADHD. From viral 30-second video clips trivializing complex executive dysfunction to predatory wellness campaigns attacking evidence-based medications, the attack on evidence directly threatens the well-being of children and adults living with ADHD.
Key Findings from The Physicians Foundation
The survey, which captured perspectives from over 1,000 practicing physicians, paints a sobering picture of how unverified information disrupts modern medicine:
The challenge is especially acute in communities already facing systemic healthcare hurdles:
As the survey illustrates, 38% of rural physicians encounter "a great deal" of health misinformation, far exceeding their suburban (21%) and urban (25%) peers. In rural and underserved regions, where access to developmental pediatricians and psychiatrists is already scarce, online narratives frequently fill the void left by provider shortages.
Why ADHD Is Ground Zero for Health Misinformation
Despite decades of neurobiological research confirming its validity, ADHD remains uniquely vulnerable to digital distortions in three distinct ways:
1. The Dueling Traps: "Life Hack" Trivialization vs. Denialism
Social media platforms host billions of views under ADHD-related tags. While digital awareness has helped destigmatize mental health, it frequently collapses nuanced clinical criteria into broad, relatable personality traits such as zoning out during a boring meeting, misplacing keys, or feeling restless.
This creates two opposing misinformation hazards:
2. Medication Stigma and Treatment Nonadherence
The survey found that 49% of doctors frequently encounter medication nonadherence and 45% face treatment refusal due to misinformation.
In ADHD care, this finding is acutely visible around stimulant pharmacotherapy. First-line stimulant medications have high response rates and extensive safety profiles spanning decades. Yet online narratives persistently frame them as dangerous narcotics, accusing parents of "drugging their children" or claiming medications permanently alter a child's brain.
Terrified parents frequently delay initiating care or discontinue effective regimens without clinical oversight, turning instead to unproven, expensive alternative supplements, unverified nootropics, or restrictive elimination diets.
3. Escalating Anxiety and Parental Guilt
With 66% of physicians observing increased patient anxiety driven by online health claims, the emotional toll on families cannot be overstated. Parents of newly diagnosed children are inundated with contradictory advice: one post warns that failing to medicate guarantees academic failure, while another claims that medicating guarantees addiction.
Adults navigating a new diagnosis experience similar distress, second-guessing their lived experiences and feeling deep shame over their executive dysfunction.
4. The 15-Minute Primary Care Bottleneck
Because pediatricians and family physicians handle most ADHD diagnoses and management, the survey’s warning that 70% of primary care providers feel hamstrung by misinformation hits ADHD patients first.
Deconstructing a viral video, explaining the difference between therapeutic stimulant dosing and substance misuse, and addressing years of internalized stigma takes time. In a standard 15-to-20-minute primary care visit, providers are forced to choose between rushing through diagnostic assessments or leaving patients' misinformed fears unaddressed.
Rebuilding the Partnership: Steps for Patients, Families, and Providers
Addressing the erosion of trust requires practical, collaborative shifts from both sides of the examination table:
For Patients and Caregivers
For Healthcare Providers and Systems
Medical misinformation thrives in the gap between a patient's vulnerability and the clinical system's time constraints. By recognizing how digital noise distorts ADHD, patients and clinicians can work together to replace viral anxiety with evidence-based care.
The Background:
Adults with ADHD often struggle more at work than their peers without ADHD. They tend to underperform on job tasks, advance less in their careers, miss more workdays, and face higher rates of unemployment. Research from several countries, including Japan, points to two main channels through which ADHD erodes workplace productivity: absenteeism, or missing work entirely, and presenteeism, showing up but performing below one’s usual capacity. Both problems typically trace back to ADHD’s core symptoms: difficulty sustaining attention, managing time, staying organized, and navigating relationships with coworkers and supervisors.
Stigma compounds these challenges. Employers and the public often have limited understanding of how ADHD manifests in adults, which can translate into unfair treatment or diminished job opportunities. That fear of judgment, in turn, discourages some people from seeking a psychiatric evaluation in the first place, delaying diagnosis and treatment, and with it, delaying access to support that could improve both their work performance and daily functioning.
Japan does offer medical care and workplace support for adults with ADHD. Options include social skills training, which teaches practical strategies for communication and collaboration; self-reliance support programs that help with daily living and job management; and, in more severe cases, a disability pension for those unable to work. Still, it remains unclear whether these employment-support services are robust enough to help people who want to work actually secure and hold onto steady jobs.
The impact of ADHD extends beyond the individual diagnosed. Supporting a family member with ADHD can be emotionally and logistically demanding, often cutting into a caregiver’s own capacity to work and earn, meaning that the economic toll of ADHD ripples outward.
The Research:
Most prior research on the economic costs of ADHD, in both children and adults, has come from the United States and Europe, focusing on medical expenses, lost productivity, and social support spending. Until recently, no one had attempted a comparable estimate for adult ADHD in Japan or elsewhere in Asia.
To address that gap, a Japanese research team conducted a cross-sectional observational study (meaning they gathered data at a single point in time and examined existing patterns rather than testing an intervention). They drew on three sources: a retrospective review of medical insurance claims, a web-based survey of affected individuals, and official government statistics. Combining these, they estimated annual costs from a societal perspective, accounting for medical expenses, lost work productivity, and government welfare spending, as well as productivity losses among family caregivers.
The claims analysis relied on JMDC, a nationwide database of insurance receipts and medical examination records spanning multiple health insurers and covering 14 million residents. Within it, the researchers identified 30,730 adult outpatients diagnosed with ADHD.
The Results:
Annual medical costs per adult with ADHD (combining outpatient visits and medication) averaged 284,000 yen (about $1,750). Scaling this figure to match the age and sex distribution of Japan’s adult population produced a nationwide estimate of 74 billion yen (about $455 million).
A separate web-based survey found that, after statistical matching, nearly half of adults with ADHD received a disability pension, yielding a nationwide estimate of 95 billion yen (about $585 million) in ADHD-related pension payments. Including public employment support services, total social welfare spending reached 390 billion yen (about $2.4 billion).
Workplace productivity losses were substantial as well. With an unemployment rate more than four percentage points higher than the general population, unemployment-related losses among adults with ADHD totaled an estimated 50 billion yen. Lower average incomes among those employed accounted for a further 315 billion yen. Once absenteeism and presenteeism were factored in, total productivity losses reached 570 billion yen (about $3.5 billion).
Family members bore a comparable burden: productivity losses among adult relatives of people with ADHD were estimated at 540 billion yen (about $3.3 billion).
Taken together, these figures point to a nationwide socioeconomic burden of 1.6 trillion yen (roughly $11 billion), equivalent to nearly $30,000 per adult with ADHD.
The Take-Away:
“This study, the first estimate of the annual socioeconomic burden of adult ADHD in Japan, underscores the necessity of providing appropriate support to adult patients with ADHD and their families and the prevention of comorbidities,” the research team concluded. “In particular, measures to support participation in the workplace to improve patients’ quality of life and reduce the social and economic burden should be explored. Furthermore, it is hoped that estimating the annual socioeconomic burden of adult ADHD will help clarify policy priorities in Japan.”
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