April 29, 2021

How to Avoid False Positives and False Negatives when Diagnosing Adult ADHD?

A recent paper by Margaret Sibley and colleagues addresses a key issue in the diagnosis of adult ADHD. Is it sufficient to only collect data from the patient being diagnosed or are informants useful or, perhaps, essential, for diagnosing ADHD in adults? Dr. Sibley presented a systematic review of twelve studies that prospectively followed ADHD children into adulthood. Each of these studies asked a simple question: What fraction of ADHD youth continued to have ADHD in adulthood. Surprisingly, the estimates of ADHD's persistence ranged from a low of4% to a high of 77%. They found two study features that accounted for much of this wide range. The first was the nature of the informant; did the study rely only on the patient's report, or were other informants consulted. The second was the use of a strict diagnostic threshold of six symptoms. When they limited the analysis to studies that used informants and eliminated the six symptom threshold, the range of estimates was much narrower, 40% to 77%. From studies that computed multiple measures of persistence using different criteria, the authors concluded: "(1) requiring impairment to be present for diagnosis reduced persistence rates; (2) a norm-based symptom threshold led to higher persistence than a strict six-symptom DSM-based symptom count criterion; and (3) informant reports tended to show a higher number of symptoms than self-reports." These data have clear implications for what clinicians can do to avoid false positive and false negative diagnoses when diagnosing adult ADHD. It is reassuring that the self-reports of ADHD patients tend to underestimate the number and severity of ADHD symptoms. This means that your patients are not typically exaggerating their symptoms. Put differently, self-reports will not lead you to over-diagnose adult ADHD. Instead, reliance on self-reports can lead to false-negative diagnoses, i.e., concluding that someone does not have ADHD when, in fact, they do. You can avoid false negatives by doing a thorough assessment, which is facilitated by some tools available at www. ADHD in adults. Command described in CME videos there. If you think a patient might have ADHD but are not certain, it would be helpful to collect data from an informant, i.e., someone who knows the patient well such as a spouse, partner, roommate, or parent. You can collect such data by sending home a rating scale or by having the patient bring an informant to a subsequent visit. Dr. Sibley's paper also shows that you can avoid false-negative diagnoses by using a lower symptom threshold than what is required in the diagnostic manual. The new DSM 5 lowered the symptom threshold for adults from six to five. Can you go lower? Yes, but it is essential to show that these symptoms lead to clear impairments in living. Importantly, this symptom threshold refers to the number of symptoms documented in adulthood, not to the number of symptoms retrospectively reported in childhood. To be diagnosed with ADHD in adulthood, one must document that the patient had at least six impairing symptoms of ADHD before the age of 12.

Sibley, M. H., Mitchell, J. T. & Becker, S. P. (2016). Method ofadult diagnosis influences estimated persistence of childhood ADHD: asystematic review of longitudinal studies. Lancet Psychiatry3,1157-1165.

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Meta-analysis Finds Aerobic Exercise Associated with Improvements in Executive Functioning

Executive function impairment is a key feature of ADHD, with its severity linked to the intensity of ADHD symptoms. Executive function involves managing complex cognitive tasks for organized behavior and includes three main areas: inhibitory control (suppressing impulsive actions), working memory (holding information briefly), and cognitive flexibility (switching between different mental tasks). Improving executive functions is a critical objective in the management of ADHD. 

Recent studies show that exercise interventions can enhance executive function in individuals with ADHD. Unlike traditional medications, which are costly and may cause side effects such as headaches, nausea, or growth issues, exercise can be incorporated into daily routines of children and adolescents without negative reactions. 

Some studies report that aerobic exercise does not significantly improve executive function. However, most past reviews of aerobic exercise effects on executive function have focused on people without ADHD, with few examining interventions for children or adolescents with ADHD. 

The Study:

A Chinese and South Korean study team conducted a systematic search of the peer-reviewed published literature to perform meta-analyses on randomized controlled trials (RCTs) specifically focused on aerobic exercise interventions for children and adolescents with ADHD. 

All studies included were randomized controlled trials involving participants aged 6 to 18 years who had been clinically diagnosed with ADHD. The interventions consisted of various forms of aerobic exercise, while the control groups engaged in either non-exercise activities or daily routines. Each study was required to report at least one outcome measure with usable data for calculating the effect size on executive functioning. 

The Results:

Meta-analysis of fifteen RCTs combining 653 children and adolescents with ADHD reported a medium to large effect size improvement in inhibitory control. There was no sign of publication bias, but wide heterogeneity (variation) in outcomes among studies.  

Six to eight weeks of aerobic exercise produced modest improvements, with much greater gains seen after twelve weeks. Hour-long sessions were as effective as longer ones. Moderate intensity exercise proved more beneficial than vigorous intensity. 

Meta-analysis of eight RCTs combining 399 children and adolescents with ADHD produced a medium effect size improvement in working memory. There was no sign of publication bias, and heterogeneity was moderate. 

Once again, six to eight weeks of aerobic exercise produced modest improvements, with much greater gains seen after twelve weeks. Hour-long sessions were as effective as longer ones. But in this case moderate-to-vigorous intensity yielded the best results. 

Meta-analysis of ten RCTs combining 443 children and adolescents with ADHD was associated with a medium to large effect size improvement in cognitive flexibility. There was no sign of either publication bias or heterogeneity. Neither the length of treatment, session time, or intensity affected the outcome. 

The Take-Away:

The team concluded, “Our study indicates that aerobic exercise interventions have a positive impact with a moderate effect size on inhibitory control, working memory, and cognitive flexibility in children and adolescents with ADHD. However, the effectiveness of the intervention is influenced by factors such as the intervention period, frequency, session durations, intensity, and the choice between acute or chronic exercise. Specifically, chronic aerobic exercise interventions lasting 12 weeks or longer, with a frequency of 3 to 5 sessions per week, session durations of 60 min or more, and intensities that are moderate or moderate-to-vigorous, have the greatest overall effect… caution should be exercised when interpreting these findings due to the significant heterogeneity in inhibitory control and working memory.” 

 

Meta-analysis Suggests an Adjunct Role for Vitamin D Supplementation for Treating ADHD

Vitamins play important roles in metabolism, immune regulation, and neurodevelopment. Recent studies show that deficiencies in vitamins like D, B6, B12, and folate are common in people with ADHD and ASD (autism spectrum disorder), and are associated with behavioral, cognitive, and brain development issues. 

The Study:

A study team based in China has just performed a systematic search of the peer-reviewed medical literature to perform meta-analyses of clinical trials exploring vitamin interventions in the treatment of ADHD and ASD.  

ADHD trials included participants with an official diagnosis. The primary intervention was vitamin supplements, while other treatments, including medications, remained unchanged or were excluded during the study period. ADHD outcomes included measurable changes in ADHD symptoms using validated rating scales and executive function measures. 

Eligible studies included standard or sham control groups, crossover, parallel, or other clinical trial designs. In crossover studies, only first-phase data were analyzed to prevent carryover effects. 

Ten trials with 852 participants met the standards, but meta-analysis showed no significant results. The outcomes varied widely, suggesting a need to distinguish among vitamins. 

Results:

Of the five trials involving 347 participants that specifically evaluated vitamin D supplementation, results indicated a large effect size improvement in ADHD symptoms and executive function measures. The other five studies did not show any observable improvement. 

Key limitations include: 

  • Vitamin D supplementation studies were not separately assessed. 
  • High heterogeneity persisted in study outcomes, likely due to varying study designs. 
  • Participant numbers were relatively small. 

The team concluded, “This meta-analysis supports the use of vitamin supplementation as a promising adjunctive treatment for ASD and ADHD. Vitamin B showed greater benefits in improving symptoms of ASD, while vitamin D was more effective in managing ADHD-related behaviors. These findings suggest that specific vitamins may target disorder-specific symptoms. Despite limitations such as the lack of trials on other vitamins and limited understanding of underlying mechanisms, vitamin therapy remains a low-cost, accessible option.” 

An important limitation of this work is that the positive results for vitamin D were due to two studies from Iran.  So far, no positive study has emerged from a non-Iranian study.

Interpretation: 

The vitamin D findings are intriguing and could be important if replicated outside of Iran. Since supplementation is already widely recommended to those with limited sunlight exposure, clinicians may want to consider monitoring their patients’ vitamin D intake, especially in the winter months. It should be noted, however, that due to the limitations of this study, the results are by no means conclusive, and vitamin D should not be taken as a stand-alone treatment for ADHD. 

October 10, 2025

Analysis of ADHD Comorbidities and Additional Healthcare Costs

Claims-based real-world data can reveal population-level trends in health among people with neurodevelopmental disorders. This new study examined the prevalence, demographics, and chronic comorbidities of adults and of children and adolescents with ADHD in a large national health plan. It also compared healthcare use and costs between those with and without ADHD. 

A research team in the United States conducted an observational cohort study using claims data from more than 1.9 million adults and nearly 500,000 children and adolescents, comparing individuals diagnosed with ADHD to those without the diagnosis. 

ADHD was diagnosed in 4% of adults and in 5% of children and adolescents. 

Comorbidities By The Numbers: 

Disruptive childhood disorders are behavioral problems marked by ongoing defiance, uncooperativeness, and aggression that affect a child's daily life and relationships. The main types, oppositional defiant disorder (ODD) and conduct disorder (CD), involve persistent anger and argumentativeness in ODD, and more severe actions like aggression, cruelty, and criminal behavior in CD. Without treatment, these common childhood disorders can continue into adulthood and raise the risks of substance use, violence, incarceration, and early death. 

Disruptive childhood disorders were twenty times more frequent among children and adolescents with ADHD than among those without ADHD diagnosis, and fifteen times more frequent among adults with ADHD. 

Bipolar disorder was twelve times more common among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and seven times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Schizophrenia was eleven times more prevalent among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and three-and-a-half times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Anxiety was nine times more frequent among children and adolescents with ADHD than among those without ADHD diagnosis, and more than five times more frequent among adults with ADHD. 

Depression was eight times more common among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and more than five times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Suicidal ideation was eight times more prevalent, and suicide attempt seven times more prevalent, among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD. Both suicidal ideation and suicide attempt were five times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Gender dysphoria was almost six times more frequent among children and adolescents with ADHD than among those without ADHD diagnosis, and five times more frequent among adults with ADHD.  

Eating disorders were over four times more common among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and five times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Substance-related disorders were over six times more prevalent, and alcohol use disorder was six times more prevalent among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and four and three times more prevalent among adults with ADHD. 

Increased Costs of Medical Care:

These comorbidities and ADHD led to higher medical costs. Children and adolescents with ADHD spent $610 more annually on healthcare than those without, while adults with ADHD had $1,684 higher average yearly expenditures than non-ADHD adults. 

The Take-Away:

This large claims-based analysis of a national commercial insurer found ADHD diagnoses in roughly 4% of adults and 5% of children. It documented substantially higher rates of co-occurring behavioral-health conditions and markedly greater healthcare utilization and expenditures among those with ADHD. The authors report increased odds for several co-occurring diagnoses, as well as higher per-member-per-month (PMPM) spending and per-thousand-per-month (PTPM) utilization, largely driven by greater use of behavioral health services. 

Importantly, these results come from cross-sectional, claims data within a commercially insured population: they describe associations, not causal relationships, and may not generalize to uninsured, publicly insured, or otherwise different populations. These findings, therefore, warrant cautious interpretation and highlight the need for longitudinal and more representative studies to clarify drivers of the increased burden and to inform care and policy.