April 29, 2021

How to Avoid False Positives and False Negatives when Diagnosing Adult ADHD?

A recent paper by Margaret Sibley and colleagues addresses a key issue in the diagnosis of adult ADHD. Is it sufficient to only collect data from the patient being diagnosed or are informants useful or, perhaps, essential, for diagnosing ADHD in adults? Dr. Sibley presented a systematic review of twelve studies that prospectively followed ADHD children into adulthood. Each of these studies asked a simple question: What fraction of ADHD youth continued to have ADHD in adulthood. Surprisingly, the estimates of ADHD's persistence ranged from a low of4% to a high of 77%. They found two study features that accounted for much of this wide range. The first was the nature of the informant; did the study rely only on the patient's report, or were other informants consulted. The second was the use of a strict diagnostic threshold of six symptoms. When they limited the analysis to studies that used informants and eliminated the six symptom threshold, the range of estimates was much narrower, 40% to 77%. From studies that computed multiple measures of persistence using different criteria, the authors concluded: "(1) requiring impairment to be present for diagnosis reduced persistence rates; (2) a norm-based symptom threshold led to higher persistence than a strict six-symptom DSM-based symptom count criterion; and (3) informant reports tended to show a higher number of symptoms than self-reports." These data have clear implications for what clinicians can do to avoid false positive and false negative diagnoses when diagnosing adult ADHD. It is reassuring that the self-reports of ADHD patients tend to underestimate the number and severity of ADHD symptoms. This means that your patients are not typically exaggerating their symptoms. Put differently, self-reports will not lead you to over-diagnose adult ADHD. Instead, reliance on self-reports can lead to false-negative diagnoses, i.e., concluding that someone does not have ADHD when, in fact, they do. You can avoid false negatives by doing a thorough assessment, which is facilitated by some tools available at www. ADHD in adults. Command described in CME videos there. If you think a patient might have ADHD but are not certain, it would be helpful to collect data from an informant, i.e., someone who knows the patient well such as a spouse, partner, roommate, or parent. You can collect such data by sending home a rating scale or by having the patient bring an informant to a subsequent visit. Dr. Sibley's paper also shows that you can avoid false-negative diagnoses by using a lower symptom threshold than what is required in the diagnostic manual. The new DSM 5 lowered the symptom threshold for adults from six to five. Can you go lower? Yes, but it is essential to show that these symptoms lead to clear impairments in living. Importantly, this symptom threshold refers to the number of symptoms documented in adulthood, not to the number of symptoms retrospectively reported in childhood. To be diagnosed with ADHD in adulthood, one must document that the patient had at least six impairing symptoms of ADHD before the age of 12.

Sibley, M. H., Mitchell, J. T. & Becker, S. P. (2016). Method ofadult diagnosis influences estimated persistence of childhood ADHD: asystematic review of longitudinal studies. Lancet Psychiatry3,1157-1165.

Related posts

No items found.

NEW STUDY: Understanding the Gap Between ADHD Clinical Trials and Real-World Patients

Background 

ADHD (Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder) is one of the most studied neurodevelopmental conditions, with many clinical trials evaluating the effectiveness and safety of various medications. These trials, known as randomized controlled trials (RCTs), are considered the gold standard for assessing treatments. However, strict eligibility criteria often exclude many real-world patients, raising questions about whether the findings from these trials apply to everyday clinical settings.

Our latest study sheds light on this issue, revealing just how many individuals with ADHD might be excluded from RCTs and the impact this exclusion has on their treatment outcomes. 

Method

Researchers used Swedish national registries to analyze data from 189,699 individuals diagnosed with ADHD who started medication between 2007 and 2019. They applied exclusion criteria from 164 international RCTs to identify who would have been considered ineligible for these trials in order to determine the proportion of individuals with ADHD who would not meet the eligibility criteria for RCTs.  

Key Findings

Many Patients Are Ineligible for Clinical Trials:

  • Over half (53%) of the study population would have been ineligible for ADHD medication trials.
  • Adults were most likely to be excluded (74%), followed by adolescents (35%) and children (21%).

Ineligible Patients Face Unique Challenges:

  • Treatment Switching: Ineligible individuals were more likely to switch medications within the first year (14% higher likelihood compared to eligible patients).
  • Medication Discontinuation: They were slightly less likely to stop taking their medication during the first year.

Higher Risk of Adverse Outcomes:

  • Ineligible patients experienced significantly higher rates of psychiatric hospitalizations and health issues such as depression, anxiety, and substance use disorders. For instance:some text
    • Psychiatric hospitalizations: Nearly 10 times more likely.
    • Specialist visits for substance use disorders: About 15 times more likely.
    • Anxiety-related visits: Over 11 times more likely.

What This Means

These findings highlight a major gap between the controlled environments of clinical trials and the realities faced by individuals with ADHD in everyday life. While RCTs provide valuable insights, their restrictive criteria often exclude patients with more complex health profiles or co-existing conditions. This limits the generalisability of trial results, meaning that treatment guidelines based solely on RCTs may not fully address the needs of all patients.

Conclusion

This study demonstrated that a significant proportion of individuals with ADHD, particularly adults, do not meet the eligibility criteria for standard RCTs. These results emphasize the importance of bridging the gap between research settings and real-world applications. By recognizing and addressing the limitations of RCTs, we can work towards more equitable and effective ADHD treatment strategies for everyone.

January 14, 2025

Where Does ADHD Fit in the Psychopathology Hierarchy? A Symptom-Focused Study

NEWS TUESDAY: Where Does ADHD Fit in the Psychopathology Hierarchy? A Symptom-Focused Study

Background:

Our understanding of Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) has grown and evolved considerably since it first appeared in the DSM-II as “Hyperkinetic Reaction of Childhood.”  This study aimed to find the disorder’s placement within the modern psychopathology classification systems like the Hierarchical Taxonomy Of Psychopathology (HiTOP). 

The HiTOP model aims to address limitations of traditional classification systems for mental illness, such as the DSM-5 and ICD-10, by organizing psychopathology according to evidence from research on observable patterns of mental health problems.. Is ADHD best categorized under externalizing conditions, neurodevelopmental disorders, or something else entirely? A recent study by Zheyue Peng, Kasey Stanton, Beatriz Dominguez-Alvarez, and Ashley L. Watts takes a closer look at this question using a symptom-focused approach.

The Study:

Traditionally, ADHD has been associated with externalizing behaviors, such as impulsivity and hyperactivity, or with neurodevelopmental traits, like cognitive delays. However, this study challenges the idea of placing ADHD into a single category. Instead, it maps ADHD symptoms across three major psychopathology spectra: externalizing, neurodevelopmental, and internalizing.

The findings reveal that ADHD symptoms don’t fit neatly into one box. For example, symptoms like impulsivity, poor school performance, and low perseverance were strongly associated with externalizing behaviors. On the other hand, cognitive disengagement (e.g., daydreaming, blank staring) and immaturity were closely linked to neurodevelopmental challenges. Interestingly, cognitive disengagement also showed ties to internalizing symptoms, such as anxiety or depression.

This research underscores the complexity of ADHD. Rather than treating ADHD as a single, unitary construct, the study advocates for a symptom-based approach to better understand and treat individuals. By acknowledging that ADHD symptoms relate to multiple psychopathology spectra, clinicians and researchers can move toward more nuanced classification systems and targeted interventions.

Conclusion: 

Ultimately, this study highlights the need for modern systems to move beyond rigid categories and adopt a more flexible, symptom-focused framework for understanding ADHD’s place in psychopathology.

January 6, 2025

Meta-analyses Find Dose-response Association Between Lead Exposure and Subsequent ADHD

Meta-analyses Find Dose-response Association Between Lead Exposure and Subsequent ADHD

Background:

Exposure to heavy metals like lead, arsenic, mercury, cadmium, and manganese is known to harm developing nervous systems. However, past studies on whether heavy metals specifically increase the risk of ADHD have shown mixed results.

A research team from China (Gu et al., 2024) reviewed medical studies and conducted meta-analyses to better understand this issue.

Methods:

The team included studies on children and teens, focusing on cohort studies, case-control studies, and cross-sectional studies. They only used articles written in English and required validated biomonitoring (like blood tests) to measure heavy metal exposure. ADHD diagnoses had to come from clinical evaluations.

To be included, studies had to report effect sizes such as odds ratios and relative risks with confidence intervals. The team focused on comparisons between groups with high, low, or no exposure, which made it harder to analyze dose-response relationships.

They also evaluated the quality of each study. All cohort studies were rated high-quality. Of the 15 case-control studies, 6 were high-quality, and 9 were moderate-quality. Among cross-sectional studies, only 2 were high-quality, and the rest were moderate-quality.

Key Findings:
  1. Lead Exposure and ADHD:some text
    • A meta-analysis of 22 studies with over 20,000 participants found that early exposure to lead was linked to about twice the odds of an ADHD diagnosis compared to unexposed children.
    • However, results varied widely among studies, and signs of publication bias were detected. After adjusting for this bias, the increased odds dropped to about 50%.
    • A dose-response relationship was found:some text
      • Blood lead levels of 2.5 µg/dL increased ADHD risk by 1.8 times.
      • Levels of 5 µg/dL increased the risk 2.5 times.
      • Levels of 7.5 µg/dL increased the risk 2.75 times.
      • Levels of 10 µg/dL tripled the risk.
  2. Other Metals:some text
    • No significant links were found between ADHD and exposure to arsenic, mercury, cadmium, or manganese. Fewer studies were available for these metals, and participant numbers were much smaller:some text
      • Arsenic exposure: 25% higher odds of ADHD (4 studies, 3,116 participants).
      • Mercury exposure: 25% higher odds (6 studies, 2,916 participants).
      • Cadmium exposure: 25% higher odds (5 studies, 2,419 participants).
      • Manganese exposure: 45% higher odds (6 studies, 1,664 participants).
  3. Austrian Study: An Austrian team (Rosenauer et al., 2024) also conducted a meta-analysis on lead exposure and ADHD. They included 14 studies with over 7,600 participants and found:some text
    • Lead exposure increased the odds of ADHD by about 25%.
    • Studies focusing on higher lead levels found a 43% increased risk, supporting a dose-response relationship.
    • Study results were consistent, with no signs of publication bias.
Conclusion:

There was no evidence linking ADHD to other heavy metals like arsenic, mercury, cadmium, or manganese.  Both meta-analyses suggest that lead exposure is associated with the risk for ADHD.  However, because these studies cannot rule out other explanations, one cannot conclude that lead exposure causes ADHD.  For example, other work shows that people with ADHD are likely to have lower incomes than those without ADHD.  

January 17, 2025