July 2, 2025

Swedish Nationwide Population Study Identifies Top Predictors of ADHD Diagnoses Among Preschoolers

Most preschool-aged children diagnosed with ADHD also exhibit comorbid mental or developmental conditions. Long-term studies following these children into adulthood have demonstrated that higher severity of ADHD symptoms in early childhood is associated with a more persistent course of ADHD. 

The Study: 

Sweden has a single-payer national health insurance system that covers virtually all residents, facilitating nationwide population studies. An international study team (US, Brazil, Sweden) searched national registers for predictors of ADHD diagnoses among all 631,695 surviving and non-emigrating preschoolers born from 2001 through 2007.  

Preschool ADHD was defined by diagnosis or prescription of ADHD medications issued to toddlers aged three through five years old.  

Predictors were conditions diagnosed prior to the ADHD diagnosis. 

A total of 1,686 (2.7%) preschoolers were diagnosed with ADHD, with the mean age at diagnosis being 4.6 years. 

The Numbers:

Adjusting for sex and birth year, the team reported the following predictors, in order of magnitude: 

  • Previous diagnosis of autism spectrum disorder increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis twentyfold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of intellectual disability increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis fifteenfold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of speech/language developmental disorders and learning disorders, as well as motor and tic disorders, increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis thirteen-fold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of sleep disorders increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis fivefold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of feeding and eating disorders increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis almost fourfold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis 3.5-fold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of asthma increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis 2.4-fold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of allergic rhinitis increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis by 70%. 
  • Previous diagnosis of atopic dermatitis or unintentional injuries increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis by 50%. 

The Conclusion: 

This large population study underscores that many conditions present in early childhood can help predict an ADHD diagnosis in preschoolers. Recognizing these risk factors early may aid in identifying and addressing ADHD sooner, hopefully improving outcomes for children as they grow

Wagner Gurgel, Miguel Garcia-Argibay, Brian M. D’Onofrio, Henrik Larsson, and Guilherme V. Polanczyk, “Predictors of preschool attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder diagnosis: a population-based study using national registers,” Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry (2025), 66:6, 834-845, https://doi.org/10.1111/jcpp.14093.

Related posts

ADHD Medication and Academic Achievement: What Do We Really Know?

Parents and teachers often ask: Does ADHD medication actually improve grades and school performance? The answer is: yes, but with important limitations. Medications are very effective at reducing inattention, hyperactivity, and impulsivity but their impact on long-term academic outcomes like grades and test scores is not as consistent.

In the Classroom

The medications for ADHD consistently: Improve attention, reduce classroom disruptions, increase time spent on-task and help children complete more schoolwork and homework. Medication can help children with ADHD access learning by improving the conditions for paying attention and persisting with work.

Does Medication Improve Test Scores and Grades?

This is where the picture gets more complicated.  Medications have  stronger effect on how much work is completed but a weaker effect on accuracy. Many studies show that children on medication attempt more problems in reading, math, and spelling, but the number of correct answers doesn’t always improve as much. Some studies find small but significant improvements in national exam scores and higher education entrance tests during periods when children with ADHD are medicated.

Grades improve, as well, but modestly. Large registry studies in Sweden show that students who consistently take medication earn higher grades than those who don’t. However, these gains usually do not close the achievement gap with peers who do not have ADHD.

Keep in mind that small improvements for a group as a whole mean that some children are benefiting greatly from medication and others not at all.  We have no way of predicting which children will improve and which do not. 

Medication Alone Isn’t Enough

Academic success depends on more than just reducing inattention, hyperactivity and impulsivity. Skills like organization, planning, studying, and managing long-term projects are also critical.  Medication cannot teach these skills.

So, in addition to medication, the patient's treatment program should include educational support (tutoring, structured study skills programs), behavioral interventions (parent training, classroom management strategies), and accommodations at school (extra time, reduced distractions, organizational aids) Parents should discuss with their prescriber which of these methods would be appropriate.

Conclusions 

ADHD medication is a powerful tool for reducing symptoms and supporting learning. It improves test scores and grades for some children, especially when taken consistently. But it is not a magic bullet for academic success. The best results come when medication is combined with educational and behavioral supports that help children build the skills they need to thrive in school and beyond.

September 17, 2025

Dose-dependent Association Found Between Childhood General Anesthesia and ADHD

Childhood General Anesthesia and Subsequent Diagnoses of ADHD

In December 2016, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) warned “that repeated or lengthy use of general anesthetic and sedation drugs during surgeries or procedures in children younger than 3 years or in pregnant women during their third trimester may affect the development of children’s brains.” The FDA adds, “Health care professionals should balance the benefits of appropriate anesthesia against the potential risks, especially for procedures lasting longer than 3 hours or if multiple procedures are required in children under 3 years,” and “Studies in pregnant and young animals have shown that using these drugs for more than 3 hours caused widespread loss of brain nerve cells.”

That raises a concern that such exposure could lead to increased risk of psychiatric disorders, including ADHD.

Noting “There are inconsistent reports regarding the association between general anesthesia and adverse neurodevelopmental and behavioral disorders in children,” a South Korean study team conducted a nationwide population study to explore possible associations through the country’s single-payer health insurance database that covers roughly 97% of all residents.

The team looked at the cohort of all children born in Korea between 2008 and 2009, and followed them until December 31, 2017. They identified 93,717 children in this cohort who during surgery received general anesthesia with endotracheal intubation (a tube inserted down the trachea), and matched them with an equal number of children who were not exposed to general anesthesia.

The team matched the unexposed group with the exposed group by age, sex, birth weight, residential area at birth, and economic status.

They then assessed both groups for subsequent diagnoses of ADHD.

In general, children exposed to general anesthesia were found to have a 40% greater risk of subsequently being diagnosed with ADHD than their unexposed peers.

This effect was found to be dose dependent by several measures:

  • Duration of surgery: two-to-three-hour surgeries were associated with a 50% greater risk of subsequent ADHD, and surgeries of more than three hours with a 60% greater risk.
  • Number of exposures: two exposures were associated with a 54% increased risk, and three or more exposures with a 67% greater risk.
  • Placement in an Intensive Care Unit was associated with a 60% greater risk of ADHD.

All three measures were highly significant.

The authors concluded, “exposure to general anesthesia with ETI [endotracheal intubation] in children is associated with an increased risk of ADHD … We must recognize the possible neurodevelopmental risk resulting from general anesthesia exposure, inform patients and parents regarding this risk, and emphasize the importance of close monitoring of mental health. However, the risk from anesthesia exposure is not superior to the importance of medical procedures. Specific research is needed for the development of safer anesthetic drugs and doses.”

June 20, 2024

How Effective is Cognitive Training for Preschool Children?

How effective is cognitive training for preschool children?

A German team of researchers performed a comprehensive search of the medical literature and identified 35randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published in English that explored this question. Participating children were between three and six years old. Children with intellectual disabilities, sensory disabilities, or specific neurological disorders such as epilepsy were excluded.

The total number of participating preschoolers was over three thousand, drawn almost exclusively from the general population, meaning these studies were not specifically evaluating effects on children with ADHD. But given that ADHD results in poorer executive functioning, evidence of the effectiveness of cognitive training would suggest it could help partially reverse such deficits.

RCTs assign participants randomly to a treatment group and a group not receiving treatment but often receiving a placebo. But RCTs themselves vary in risk of bias, depending on:

  • whether the control condition was passive (i.e. waiting list or no treatment) or active/sham (an activity of similar duration and intensity to the treatment condition)
  • whether the outcome was measured by subjective rating (e.g. by questionnaires, susceptible to reporting biases) or more objective neuropsychological testing;
  • whether the assessment of outcome was by blinded assessors unaware of participants' treatment conditions;
  • whether there was a risk of bias from participants dropping out of the trial.

After evaluating the RCTs by these criteria, the team performed a series of meta-analyses.

Combining the 23 RCTs with over 2,000 children that measured working memory, they found that cognitive training led to robust moderate improvements. Looking only at the eleven most rigorously controlled studies strengthened the effect, with moderate-to-large gains.

Twenty-six RCTs with over 2,200 children assessed inhibitory control. When pooled, they indicated a small-to-moderate improvement from cognitive training. Including only the seven most rigorously controlled studies again strengthened the effect, boosting it into the moderate effect zone.

Twelve RCTs with over 1,500 participants tested the effects of cognitive training on flexibility. When combined, they pointed to moderate gains. Looking at only the four well-controlled studies boosted the effect to strong gains. Yet here there was evidence of publication bias, so no firm conclusion can be drawn.

Only four studies with a combined total of 119 preschoolers tested the effects on ADHD ratings. The meta-analysis found a small but non-significant improvement, very likely due to insufficient sampling. As the authors noted, "some findings of the meta-analysis are limited by the insufficient number of eligible studies. Specifically, more studies are needed which use blinded assessments of subjective ratings of ADHD ... symptoms ..."

The authors concluded that their meta-analyses revealed significant, mostly medium-sized effects of the preschool interventions on core EFs [executive functions] in studies showing the low risk of bias."

January 2, 2022

Meta-analysis Suggests an Adjunct Role for Vitamin D Supplementation for Treating ADHD

Vitamins play important roles in metabolism, immune regulation, and neurodevelopment. Recent studies show that deficiencies in vitamins like D, B6, B12, and folate are common in people with ADHD and ASD (autism spectrum disorder), and are associated with behavioral, cognitive, and brain development issues. 

The Study:

A study team based in China has just performed a systematic search of the peer-reviewed medical literature to perform meta-analyses of clinical trials exploring vitamin interventions in the treatment of ADHD and ASD.  

ADHD trials included participants with an official diagnosis. The primary intervention was vitamin supplements, while other treatments, including medications, remained unchanged or were excluded during the study period. ADHD outcomes included measurable changes in ADHD symptoms using validated rating scales and executive function measures. 

Eligible studies included standard or sham control groups, crossover, parallel, or other clinical trial designs. In crossover studies, only first-phase data were analyzed to prevent carryover effects. 

Ten trials with 852 participants met the standards, but meta-analysis showed no significant results. The outcomes varied widely, suggesting a need to distinguish among vitamins. 

Results:

Of the five trials involving 347 participants that specifically evaluated vitamin D supplementation, results indicated a large effect size improvement in ADHD symptoms and executive function measures. The other five studies did not show any observable improvement. 

Key limitations include: 

  • Vitamin D supplementation studies were not separately assessed. 
  • High heterogeneity persisted in study outcomes, likely due to varying study designs. 
  • Participant numbers were relatively small. 

The team concluded, “This meta-analysis supports the use of vitamin supplementation as a promising adjunctive treatment for ASD and ADHD. Vitamin B showed greater benefits in improving symptoms of ASD, while vitamin D was more effective in managing ADHD-related behaviors. These findings suggest that specific vitamins may target disorder-specific symptoms. Despite limitations such as the lack of trials on other vitamins and limited understanding of underlying mechanisms, vitamin therapy remains a low-cost, accessible option.” 

An important limitation of this work is that the positive results for vitamin D were due to two studies from Iran.  So far, no positive study has emerged from a non-Iranian study.

Interpretation: 

The vitamin D findings are intriguing and could be important if replicated outside of Iran. Since supplementation is already widely recommended to those with limited sunlight exposure, clinicians may want to consider monitoring their patients’ vitamin D intake, especially in the winter months. It should be noted, however, that due to the limitations of this study, the results are by no means conclusive, and vitamin D should not be taken as a stand-alone treatment for ADHD. 

October 10, 2025

Analysis of ADHD Comorbidities and Additional Healthcare Costs

Claims-based real-world data can reveal population-level trends in health among people with neurodevelopmental disorders. This new study examined the prevalence, demographics, and chronic comorbidities of adults and of children and adolescents with ADHD in a large national health plan. It also compared healthcare use and costs between those with and without ADHD. 

A research team in the United States conducted an observational cohort study using claims data from more than 1.9 million adults and nearly 500,000 children and adolescents, comparing individuals diagnosed with ADHD to those without the diagnosis. 

ADHD was diagnosed in 4% of adults and in 5% of children and adolescents. 

Comorbidities By The Numbers: 

Disruptive childhood disorders are behavioral problems marked by ongoing defiance, uncooperativeness, and aggression that affect a child's daily life and relationships. The main types, oppositional defiant disorder (ODD) and conduct disorder (CD), involve persistent anger and argumentativeness in ODD, and more severe actions like aggression, cruelty, and criminal behavior in CD. Without treatment, these common childhood disorders can continue into adulthood and raise the risks of substance use, violence, incarceration, and early death. 

Disruptive childhood disorders were twenty times more frequent among children and adolescents with ADHD than among those without ADHD diagnosis, and fifteen times more frequent among adults with ADHD. 

Bipolar disorder was twelve times more common among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and seven times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Schizophrenia was eleven times more prevalent among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and three-and-a-half times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Anxiety was nine times more frequent among children and adolescents with ADHD than among those without ADHD diagnosis, and more than five times more frequent among adults with ADHD. 

Depression was eight times more common among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and more than five times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Suicidal ideation was eight times more prevalent, and suicide attempt seven times more prevalent, among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD. Both suicidal ideation and suicide attempt were five times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Gender dysphoria was almost six times more frequent among children and adolescents with ADHD than among those without ADHD diagnosis, and five times more frequent among adults with ADHD.  

Eating disorders were over four times more common among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and five times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Substance-related disorders were over six times more prevalent, and alcohol use disorder was six times more prevalent among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and four and three times more prevalent among adults with ADHD. 

Increased Costs of Medical Care:

These comorbidities and ADHD led to higher medical costs. Children and adolescents with ADHD spent $610 more annually on healthcare than those without, while adults with ADHD had $1,684 higher average yearly expenditures than non-ADHD adults. 

The Take-Away:

This large claims-based analysis of a national commercial insurer found ADHD diagnoses in roughly 4% of adults and 5% of children. It documented substantially higher rates of co-occurring behavioral-health conditions and markedly greater healthcare utilization and expenditures among those with ADHD. The authors report increased odds for several co-occurring diagnoses, as well as higher per-member-per-month (PMPM) spending and per-thousand-per-month (PTPM) utilization, largely driven by greater use of behavioral health services. 

Importantly, these results come from cross-sectional, claims data within a commercially insured population: they describe associations, not causal relationships, and may not generalize to uninsured, publicly insured, or otherwise different populations. These findings, therefore, warrant cautious interpretation and highlight the need for longitudinal and more representative studies to clarify drivers of the increased burden and to inform care and policy.

Population Study Finds Strong Association Between Assisted Reproductive Technologies and Offspring ADHD

Taiwanese Nationwide Population Study Finds Strong Association Between Assisted Reproductive Technologies and Offspring ADHD

Background: 

Since the first in vitro fertilization (IVF) in 1978, assisted reproductive technology (ART) has led to over 10 million births worldwide.  

There are four types of embryo transfers, depending on whether they are fresh or frozen, and on their developmental stage. 

Fresh cleavage stage embryos are transferred on day 2 or 3 following fertilization and typically contain four to eight relatively large, undifferentiated cells. Fresh blastocyst embryos are transferred on day 5 or 6 after fertilization. At this point, they have developed over a hundred cells and have differentiated into two types: the inner cell mass, which develops into the fetus, and the outer cell layer, which forms the placenta. 

Globally, more children are now born through assisted reproductive technology using frozen-thawed embryo transfer than fresh embryo transfer.  

Research suggests that ART-conceived offspring may face increased risks of cardiovascular, musculoskeletal, chromosomal, urogenital diseases, and cancers. Might they also be at increased risk for ADHD? 

Study:

Taiwan’s single-payer health insurance covers over 99% of people and records all their healthcare activity. Since 1998, it has kept an ART database for all couples registered for IVF treatment. 

A Taiwanese research team reviewed all records for the five-year period from 2013 through 2017, ultimately analyzing 3,125 live singleton births from fresh cleavage stages, 1,332 from fresh blastocysts, 1,465 from frozen cleavage stages, and 4,708 from frozen blastocysts, alongside 878,643 naturally conceived singleton births. 

The team controlled for the following potential confounders: pregnancy-induced hypertension, chronic hypertension, diabetes mellitus, gestational diabetes mellitus, unhealthy lifestyle, placenta previa, placenta abruption, preterm premature rupture of membrane, and postpartum hemorrhage. 

Results:

With these adjustments, cleavage stage embryo transfers, whether fresh or frozen, were associated with a seven-fold higher rate of ADHD diagnosis in offspring than natural conception. 

Frozen blastocyst embryo transfers were likewise linked to a seven-fold increase in ADHD diagnoses in offspring compared to natural conception. Notably, fresh blastocyst transfers showed a 19-fold increase, likely due to the smaller number of cases in this category. 

The team concluded, “Compared to natural conception, ART is associated with higher risks, particularly for preterm birth, ADHD, and developmental delay.” 

Conclusion: 

This large national cohort suggests that ART-conceived singletons face higher rates of several adverse outcomes, including preterm birth, ADHD, and developmental delay. Clinicians and prospective parents should therefore weigh these potential associations when counseling and planning care, prioritize optimized ART protocols and perinatal management, and ensure early developmental surveillance for ART-conceived children so concerns can be identified and addressed promptly.

It is important to note that the findings also point to the likely contribution of underlying parental infertility in these developmental outcomes. Future research should aim to disentangle parental- versus procedure-related risks to clarify absolute risk magnitudes. As always, associations of this time should not be interpreted as causal due to the inability of observational studies to rule out all possible confounding factors.

October 1, 2025