Swedish Study Reveals ADHD’s Impact on Criminal Convictions—and How Medication Reduces Risk

ADHD has long been associated with higher rates of criminal behavior, but most studies have relied heavily on self-reported data and small, non-representative samples. A new Swedish study addresses these limitations, providing a more comprehensive and reliable picture using data from nationwide registers. It sheds light on the role of ADHD medication in reducing the risk of criminal convictions, offering insights for clinicians, policymakers, and families.

Previous Research: The Denmark Comparison

Earlier research, such as a 2019 Danish study, found that ADHD diagnosed in children and adolescents ages 4 to 15 was associated with a 1.6-fold increased risk of future criminal conviction. However, these findings were limited by a smaller sample size and a focus on just one nation’s context. Like Denmark, Sweden’s single-payer universal healthcare system allows for the collection of extensive data on health and crime records, providing an ideal environment for large-scale, population-based research.

Swedish Study Design: A Robust Approach

To investigate ADHD’s connection to criminal behavior, the Swedish research team analyzed records from a cohort of 1,646,645 individuals born between 1986 and 1997. They excluded those who died or emigrated before age 15 (the age of criminal responsibility in Sweden) and those who immigrated to Sweden, resulting in a final study group of 1,235,939 individuals. Slightly more than half of the cohort was male.

ADHD diagnoses were based on clinical records and prescriptions for approved ADHD medications, while criminal convictions—both violent and nonviolent—were identified using Sweden’s National Crime Register, covering the years 2001 to 2013. The study adjusted for various potential confounding factors, including sex, birth year, parental education, and other psychiatric conditions. They also used the Swedish Multi-Generation Register to control for unmeasured familial factors to compare outcomes among full siblings.

Key Findings: ADHD and Criminality

The study found that ADHD is strongly associated with increased rates of criminal convictions. Compared to individuals without ADHD, those with an ADHD diagnosis were roughly:

  • Four times more likely to be convicted of a violent crime.
  • Twice as likely to be convicted of a nonviolent crime.

Interestingly, when comparing conviction rates among males and females with ADHD, the rates of nonviolent convictions were similar, but females with ADHD were about 25% more likely to be convicted of a violent crime than males with ADHD.

The Role of Medication: A Significant Moderating Factor

The research also highlighted the importance of ADHD medication in reducing criminal behavior. When individuals with ADHD who were taking medication were excluded from the analysis, the data showed significantly higher rates of criminal convictions:

  • Unmedicated males with ADHD had a 50% higher rate of violent convictions and more than double the rate of nonviolent convictions compared to their typically developing peers.
  • Unmedicated females with ADHD faced even greater risks, with nearly triple the rate of violent convictions and quadruple the rate of nonviolent convictions.

These findings suggest that ADHD medications can significantly reduce the risk of both violent and nonviolent criminal behavior in individuals with ADHD, emphasizing the value of pharmacological treatment for those with the condition.

Clinical Implications: Medication as a Risk-Reducing Strategy

The researchers concluded that “ADHD is a strong risk factor for both violent and non‐violent criminal convictions in males and females even after adjustments for psychiatric comorbidities and unmeasured familial factors.” The study also found that untreated ADHD poses a particularly high risk for criminal behavior, highlighting the protective role of medication.

These findings are clinically relevant for several reasons. First, they reinforce the importance of ensuring that individuals with ADHD have access to effective treatment options, especially during the transition from adolescence into adulthood, which is statistically a period of higher risk for criminal behavior. Additionally, the study provides critical data for shaping public policy and interventions aimed at supporting individuals with ADHD, with a focus on reducing criminality through proper management of the disorder.

Conclusion:

This study offers new insights into the complex relationship between ADHD, medication, and criminal behavior, emphasizing the crucial role of treatment in mitigating risks. It provides a compelling case for prioritizing access to ADHD medication as part of a broader strategy for supporting those with ADHD.

Anna-Karin Ångström, Anneli Andersson, Miguel Garcia-Argibay, Zheng Chang, Paul Lichtenstein, Brian M. D’Onofrio, Catherine Tuvblad, Laura Ghirardi, and Henrik Larsson, “Criminal convictions in males and females diagnosed with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder: A Swedish national registry study,” JCPP Advances (2024), e12217, https://doi.org/10.1002/jcv2.12217

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ADHD medication and risk of suicide

ADHD medication and risk of suicide

A Chinese research team performed two types of meta-analyses to compare the risk of suicide for ADHD patients taking ADHD medication as opposed to those not taking medication.

The first type of meta-analysis combined six large population studies with a total of over 4.7 million participants. These were located on three continents - Europe, Asia, and North America - and more specifically Sweden, England, Taiwan, and the United States.

The risk of suicide among those taking medication was found to be about a quarter less than for unmediated individuals, though the results were barely significant at the 95 percent confidence level (p = 0.49, just a sliver below the p = 0.5 cutoff point). There were no significant differences between males and females, except that looking only at males or females reduced sample size and made results non-significant.

Differentiating between patients receiving stimulant and non-stimulant medications produced divergent outcomes. A meta-analysis of four population studies covering almost 900,000 individuals found stimulant medications to be associated with a 28 percent reduced risk of suicide. On the other hand, a meta-analysis of three studies with over 62,000 individuals found no significant difference in suicide risk for non-stimulant medications. The benefit, therefore, seems limited to stimulant medication.

The second type of meta-analysis combined three within-individual studies with over 3.9 million persons in the United States, China, and Sweden. The risk of suicide among those taking medication was found to be almost a third less than for unmediated individuals, though the results were again barely significant at the 95 percent confidence level (p =0.49, just a sliver below the p = 0.5 cutoff point). Once again, there were no significant differences between males and females, except that looking only at males or females reduced the sample size and made results non-significant.

Differentiating between patients receiving stimulant and non-stimulant medications once again produced divergent outcomes. Meta-analysis of the same three studies found a 25 percent reduced risk of suicide among those taking stimulant medications. But as in the population studies, a meta-analysis of two studies with over 3.9 million persons found no reduction in risk among those taking non-stimulant medications.

A further meta-analysis of two studies with 3.9 million persons found no reduction in suicide risk among persons taking ADHD medications for 90 days or less, "revealing the importance of duration and adherence to medication in all individuals prescribed stimulants for ADHD."

The authors concluded, "exposure to non-stimulants is not associated with a higher risk of suicide attempts. However, a lower risk of suicide attempts was observed for stimulant drugs. However, the results must be interpreted with caution due to the evidence of heterogeneity ..."

December 13, 2021

Direct medical costs of adult incident ADHD in Germany

Direct medical costs of adult incident ADHD in Germany

A team of German researchers explored five million member records from a database that tracks more than sixty nationwide statutory health insurance programs. The database closely tracks the characteristics of the overall German population.

This was a longitudinal cohort study, tracking individuals first diagnosed with adult ADHD between 2013 and 2017. Anyone who was not continuously insured during this period was excluded, as were those who died, plus anyone older than 55 to prevent bias from high morbidity in the top age brackets.

The study team used the database to add up direct healthcare costs, including inpatient care, outpatient care, psychotherapy, medical aids and remedies, medication, and sickness benefits. In Germany, sickness benefits kick in after more than six weeks of continuous inability to work.

The study tracked data within a window extending both four years back and four years forward from the initial adult ADHD diagnosis.

The resulting study cohort consisted of 2,380 persons between 18 and 55, initially diagnosed with ADHD at an average age of 35. Sixty percent were male.

One-third were prescribed ADHD medication upon diagnosis. Four years later, only one-eighth were still on medication.

Almost two-thirds received psychotherapy, dropping to under a third in succeeding years.

During the year following diagnosis, average healthcare costs totaled about €4,000 per individual. For those who initiated ADHD medication, the average cost was just over €5,400, and for those who did not it was almost €3,500.

The authors concluded, "An important finding of the present investigation is that in the year of initial diagnosis, less than one-third of individuals received any prescription of ADHD-specific medication, and only a fourth got at least two prescriptions. At the same time, almost two-thirds of individuals received psychotherapy in the year of ADHD[adult ADHD] diagnosis. In about one-third of individuals, psychotherapy had been initiated already before a diagnosis of ADHD, presumably for treatment of comorbid disorders. ... In current German guidelines, ADHD-specific medication is recommended as the first choice ... Apparently, despite the vast body of evidence for the beneficial effects of ADHD-specific medication, at least in the short-term, and in contrast to the recommendations of previous and current guidelines, stimulant medication is only reluctantly prescribed in newly identified adults with ADHD. ... Overall, our findings suggest that significant deficiencies may currently exist concerning the reality of healthcare for ADHD in Germany, and that guideline recommendations are not yet comprehensively implemented in everyday routine care."

December 7, 2021

How Effective and Safe are Stimulant Medications for Older Adults?

How effective and safe are stimulant medications for older adults?

Older adults are at greater risk for cardiovascular disease. Psychostimulants may contribute to that risk through side effects, such as elevation of systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, and heart rate.

On the other hand, smoking, substance abuse, obesity, and chronic sleep loss - all of which are associated with ADHD - are known to increase cardiovascular risk, and stimulant medications are an effective treatment for ADHD.

So how does this all shake out? A Dutch team of researchers sets out to explore this. Using electronic health records, they compared all 139 patients 55 years and older at PsyQ outpatient clinic, Program Adult ADHD, in The Hague. Because a principal aim of the study was to evaluate the effect of medication on cardiovascular functioning after first medication use, the 26 patients who had previously been prescribed ADHD medication were excluded from the study, leaving a sample size of 113.

The ages of participants ranged from 55 from 79, with a mean of 61. Slightly over half were women. At the outset, 13 percent had elevated systolic and/or diastolic blood pressure, 2 percent had an irregular heart rate, 15 percent had an abnormal electrocardiogram, and 29 percent had some combination of these (a "cardiovascular risk profile"), and 21 percent used antihypertensive medication.

Three out of four participants had at least e comorbid disorder. The most common are sleep disorders, affecting a quarter of participants, and unipolar mood disorders (depressive or more rarely manic episodes, but not both), also affecting a quarter of participants.

Twenty-four patients did not initiate pharmacological treatment. Of the 89 who received ADHD medication, 58 (65%) reported positive effects, and five experienced no effect. Thirty-eight (43%) discontinued ADHD medication while at the clinic due to lack of effect or to side effects. The most commonly reported positive effects were enhanced concentration, more overview, less restlessness, more stable mood, and having more energy. The principal reasons for discontinuing medication were anxiety/depression, cardiovascular complaints, and lack of effect.

Methylphenidate raised heart rate and lowered weight, but had no significant effect on systolic and diastolic blood pressure. Moreover, there was no significant correlation between methylphenidate dosage and any of these variables, nor between methylphenidate users taking hypertensive medication and those not taking such medication. There was no significant difference in systolic or diastolic blood pressure and heart rate before and after the use of methylphenidate among patients with the cardiovascular risk profiles.

Systolic blood pressure rose in ten out of 64 patients, with two experiencing an increase of at least 20 mmHg. It descended in five patients, with three having a decrease of at least 20 mmHg. Diastolic blood pressure rose by at least 10 mmHg in four patients, while dropping at least 10 mmHg in five others.

The authors concluded "that the use of a low dose of ADHD-medication is well tolerated and does not cause clinically significant cardiovascular changes among older adults with ADHD, even among those with an increased cardiovascular risk profile. Furthermore, our older patients experienced significant and clinically relevant improvement of their ADHD symptoms using stimulants, comparable with what is found among the younger age group," and that "the use of methylphenidate may be a relatively safe and effective treatment for older adults with ADHD, under the condition that all somatic complaints and especially cardiovascular parameters are monitored before and during pharmacological treatment."

Yet they cautioned that "due to the observational nature of the study and the lack of a control group, no firm conclusions can be drawn as to the effectiveness of the stimulants used. ... Important factors that were not systematically reported were the presence of other risk factors, such as smoking, substance (ab)use, aspirin use, and level of physical activity. In addition, the response to medication was not systematically measured"

December 21, 2021

Swedish nationwide population study identifies top predictors of ADHD diagnoses among preschoolers

Most preschool-aged children diagnosed with ADHD also exhibit comorbid mental or developmental conditions. Long-term studies following these children into adulthood have demonstrated that higher severity of ADHD symptoms in early childhood is associated with a more persistent course of ADHD. 

The Study: 

Sweden has a single-payer national health insurance system that covers virtually all residents, facilitating nationwide population studies. An international study team (US, Brazil, Sweden) searched national registers for predictors of ADHD diagnoses among all 631,695 surviving and non-emigrating preschoolers born from 2001 through 2007.  

Preschool ADHD was defined by diagnosis or prescription of ADHD medications issued to toddlers aged three through five years old.  

Predictors were conditions diagnosed prior to the ADHD diagnosis. 

A total of 1,686 (2.7%) preschoolers were diagnosed with ADHD, with the mean age at diagnosis being 4.6 years. 

The Numbers:

Adjusting for sex and birth year, the team reported the following predictors, in order of magnitude: 

  • Previous diagnosis of autism spectrum disorder increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis twentyfold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of intellectual disability increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis fifteenfold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of speech/language developmental disorders and learning disorders, as well as motor and tic disorders, increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis thirteen-fold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of sleep disorders increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis fivefold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of feeding and eating disorders increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis almost fourfold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis 3.5-fold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of asthma increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis 2.4-fold. 
  • Previous diagnosis of allergic rhinitis increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis by 70%. 
  • Previous diagnosis of atopic dermatitis or unintentional injuries increased subsequent likelihood of ADHD diagnosis by 50%. 

The Conclusion: 

This large population study underscores that many conditions present in early childhood can help predict an ADHD diagnosis in preschoolers. Recognizing these risk factors early may aid in identifying and addressing ADHD sooner, hopefully improving outcomes for children as they grow

July 2, 2025

Northern Finnish Population Study Finds ADHD Slashes Higher Education Attainment, Comorbidity of ADHD + ODD much worse

Background:

Although ADHD typically begins in childhood, its symptoms frequently continue into adulthood, and it is widely acknowledged as having a lifelong prevalence for most persons with ADHD. 

ADHD symptoms are linked to poor academic performance, mainly due to cognitive issues like compromised working memory. These symptoms lead to long-term negative academic outcomes and difficulty in achieving higher educational degrees. 

Oppositional Defiant Disorder (ODD) often co-occurs with ADHD. In community samples, it appears in about 50–60% of those with ADHD. ODD symptoms include an angry or irritable mood, vindictiveness toward others, and argumentative or defiant behavior that lasts more than 6 months and significantly disrupts daily life.  

Since ODD tends to co-occur with ADHD, research on pure ODD groups without ADHD is limited, especially in community samples. This longitudinal study aimed to examine the impact of ADHD and ODD symptoms in adolescence on academic performance at age 16 and educational attainment by age 32. 

Study:

Finland, like other Nordic countries, has a single-payer health insurance system that includes virtually all residents. A Finnish research team used the Northern Finnish Birth Cohort to include all 9,432 children born from July 1, 1985, through June 30, 1986, and followed since then. 

ADHD symptoms were measured at age 16 using the Strengths and Weaknesses of ADHD symptoms and Normal-behaviors (SWAN) scale. 

Symptoms of ODD were screened using a 7-point rating scale similar to the SWAN scale, based on eight DSM-IV-TR criteria: “Control temper”, “Avoid arguing with adults”, “Follow adult requests or rules”, “Avoid deliberately annoying others”, “Assume responsibility for mistakes or misbehaviour”, “Ignore annoyances from others”, “Control anger and resentment”, and “Control spitefulness and vindictiveness.” 

Higher education attainments were determined at age 32. 

Results:

After adjusting for the educational attainments of the parents of the subjects, family type, and psychiatric disorders other than ADHD or ODD, males with ADHD symptoms at age 16 had a quarter, and females a little over a third, of the higher education attainments of peers without ADHD symptoms at age 32.  

With the same adjustments, males with ODD symptoms alone had two-thirds, and females 80%, of the higher education attainments of peers without ODD, but neither outcome was statistically significant. 

However, all participants with combined ADHD and ODD symptoms at age 16 had roughly one-fifth of the higher education attainments of peers without such symptoms upon reaching age 32. 

Interpretation: 

The team concluded, “The findings that emerged from this large longitudinal birth cohort study showed that the co-occurrence of ODD and ADHD symptoms in adolescence predicted the greatest deficits of all in educational attainment in adulthood.” 

This study highlights the significant, long-lasting impact that co-occurring ADHD and ODD symptoms can have on educational outcomes well into adulthood. It underscores the importance of addressing both disorders together during adolescence to help improve future academic success.

July 1, 2025

U.S. Nationwide Study Finds Down Syndrome Associated with 70% Greater Odds of ADHD

The Background:

Down syndrome (DS) is a genetic disorder resulting from an extra copy of chromosome 21. It is associated with intellectual disability. 

Three to five thousand children are born with Down syndrome each year. They have higher risks for conditions like hypothyroidism, sleep apnea, epilepsy, sensory issues, infections, and autoimmune diseases. Research on ADHD in patients with Down syndrome has been inconclusive. 

The Study:

The National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) is a household survey conducted by the National Center for Health Statistics at the CDC. 

Due to the low prevalence of Down syndrome, a Chinese research team used NHIS records from 1997 to 2018 to analyze data from 214,300 children aged 3 to 17, to obtain a sufficiently large and nationally representative sample to investigate any potential association with ADHD. 

DS and ADHD were identified by asking, “Has a doctor or health professional ever diagnosed your child with Down syndrome, Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD), or Attention Deficit Disorder (ADD)?” 

After adjusting for age, sex, and race/ethnicity, plus family highest education level, family income-to-poverty ratio, and geographic region, children and adolescents with Down syndrome had 70% greater odds of also having ADHD than children and adolescents without Down syndrome. There were no significant differences between males and females. 

The Take-Away:

The team concluded, “in a nationwide population-based study of U.S. children, we found that a Down syndrome diagnosis was associated with a higher prevalence of ASD and ADHD. Our findings highlight the necessity of conducting early and routine screenings for ASD and ADHD in children with Down syndrome within clinical settings to improve the effectiveness of interventions.” 

June 27, 2025